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Civil-Comp Proceedings
ISSN 1759-3433
CCP: 12
Edited by: B.H.V. Topping
Paper VI.2

Development of an Expert System for Intelligent Simulation of Housing Modernisation Works

A. Retik, V. Marston and M. Alshawi

Department of Surveying, University of Salford, Salford, England

Full Bibliographic Reference for this paper
A. Retik, V. Marston, M. Alshawi, "Development of an Expert System for Intelligent Simulation of Housing Modernisation Works", in B.H.V. Topping, (Editor), "Artificial Intelligence and Civil Engineering", Civil-Comp Press, Edinburgh, UK, pp 177-185, 1991. doi:10.4203/ccp.12.6.2
The paper describes a one year study which is investigating the feasibility of forecasting contract cost and duration by means of intelligent simulation. The intelligent simulation approach seeks to provide the user with probabilistic estimates generated by a production plan based model, and the ability to test the sensitivity of the outcome to factors such as different constraint conditions, resourcing levels or management strategies. The vehicle chosen for the study is multi-unit, low rise housing modernisation: these projects are characterised by the sensitivity of cost and time to operational factors, and by high levels of uncertainty. The first part of the paper outlines the objectives of the work. The main part reviews the research methodology and focuses upon the progress that has been made to date in the development of a prototype system.

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