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Civil-Comp Proceedings
ISSN 1759-3433
CCP: 108
PROCEEDINGS OF THE FIFTEENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CIVIL, STRUCTURAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING COMPUTING
Edited by: J. Kruis, Y. Tsompanakis and B.H.V. Topping
Paper 190

Monte Carlo Rollout Method for Optimization under Uncertainty

D. Holfeld and A. Simroth

Fraunhofer Institute for Transportation and Infrastructure Systems, Dresden, Germany

Full Bibliographic Reference for this paper
D. Holfeld, A. Simroth, "Monte Carlo Rollout Method for Optimization under Uncertainty", in J. Kruis, Y. Tsompanakis, B.H.V. Topping, (Editors), "Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Conference on Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering Computing", Civil-Comp Press, Stirlingshire, UK, Paper 190, 2015. doi:10.4203/ccp.108.190
Keywords: optimization under uncertainty, robust optimization, Monte Carlo rollout method, combinatorial problems, scheduling problem, bin packing problem.

Summary
To optimize a combinatorial problem one can use complex algorithms, e.g. branch- and-bound algorithms. However, these are time consuming for extensive problems. By the need of real-time decisions in industrial applications, complex algorithms are inapplicable. Additionally, as a consequence of changes, solutions have to be calculated very often to adapt plans to the changes. Another aspect that makes a fast solution necessary. The Monte Carlo rollout method (MCR) is a novel approach for the approximate solution of combinatorial optimization problems. The MCR approach combines ideas from rollout algorithms for combinatorial optimization and the Monte Carlo tree search in game theory. In this paper the results of an investigation of applying the MCR to a repairing bin packing problem and a scheduling problem are shown. Influences of the model parameters, search depth and search width, are examined as well as the influence of process parameters. It also deals with the question as to whether the Lookahead Pathology occurs as identified in game theory.

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